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Bitcoin research rules change.
The record does not.

Every release fixes the detector, scoring, and statistical rules behind its studies. A SHA-256 specification hash prevents silent edits, while release snapshots preserve the results and source cutoff first published under that version.

RELEASED 25 SEPTEMBER 2026

Model 1.6.0 · Buffered weekly local structure reclaim

Current

Requires a small confirmation margin above the previous completed week high before weekly local repair can move Broken structure to Improving.

15 immutable study snapshotsSource through 2026-09-25
0a8f79a31d90bbd806fa5b9a5e24ba0697622fd7bbef876d488658034f98fc6c
  • Added a 0.25% confirmation buffer to the weekly local-structure reclaim branch after comparing 0%, 0.25%, and 0.50% across full history.
  • Separated the immutable cycle origin from the active recovery level used to confirm current structural repair.
  • Allowed the active recovery level to ratchet downward only after a continuation breakdown satisfies the production confirmation rule.
  • Required two consecutive completed weekly closes above the active recovery level before Improving can return to Intact.
  • Changed failed recovery to require a newly confirmed structural breakdown while keeping the existing cycle origin.
  • Added earlier local recovery after two completed weeks without a new 20-day low, confirmed by a local 20-day high reclaim or a weekly close above the previous completed week high.
  • Added an explicit Intact, Neutral, Broken, and Improving state machine with weekly breakdown confirmation and reclaim hysteresis.
  • Replaced score-only regime assignment with a score-and-structure gating matrix plus a seven-day score-momentum tie-breaker.
  • Added Compressed, Normal, and Expanding volatility context based on 20-day ATR relative to its trailing 50-session median.
  • Historical cards now display regime, opportunity conditions, price structure, and volatility separately.
  • Published a four-horizon comparison of low Opportunity Score entries with intact versus broken structure.
  • Kept Opportunity Score inputs and weights unchanged.
Inspect release
RELEASED 25 AUGUST 2026

Model 1.1.0 · Point-in-time bottom-zone classification

Adds a completed-candle bottom-zone state machine and stabilization study without changing the established regime, score, or thirteen baseline study definitions.

14 immutable study snapshotsSource through 2026-09-02
0eb24414cc2903c78320cd999c66198d68ba0fd029c8542dc271102a52e2884b
  • Added a six-state point-in-time bottom-zone cycle derived only from completed daily candles.
  • Published the first stabilization event per drawdown cycle as a four-horizon forward-return study.
  • Persisted current and historical bottom-zone states beside existing market snapshots.
  • Added dashboard, chart, API, methodology, sensitivity, temporal, and cross-exchange evidence for the new classification.
Inspect release