What is Bitcoin doing now?
Read trend, momentum and structure alongside the monetary backdrop.
BullishExplore Current Regime →Understand the market.
Test the strategy.
Read Bitcoin’s market regime and macro context. Inspect comparable history. Compare signal-triggered purchases against Traditional DCA.
The current picture
- Market regime
- Bullish$82,281 · As of Oct 19, 2026Inspect market →
- Macro state
- NeutralProvisional · Oct 15, 2026Inspect macro →
- Signal state
- 4 active signalsStored active events; no combined directional verdictInspect signals →
- Strategy evidence
- No run selectedEvidence depends on the selected triggers and historical periodTest a strategy →
What followed similar conditions?
Compare historical outcomes with their independent samples and limitations.
3 featured studiesExplore Historical Evidence →How did purchase timing compare?
Compare historical portfolio value, BTC accumulation and time spent waiting in cash.
Benchmark: Traditional DCAOpen Strategy Lab →STRATEGY LAB
Same contributions. Different timing.
Compare scheduled Bitcoin purchases with purchases triggered by historical signals. Inspect portfolio value, accumulated BTC, trading costs and unspent cash. A historical replay does not establish future performance.
- 1. Define the replayChoose a period, contribution schedule and signal triggers.
- 2. Compare against Traditional DCAUse the same contributions and configured costs.
- 3. Inspect a historical replay →Inspect the result, purchase ledger and execution assumptions.
HISTORICAL RESEARCH
View all studies Evidence behind the signals
Forward returns, distributions, drawdowns, and sample size for each market condition.
Market study
Low score by structure
Compares forward Bitcoin outcomes after low Opportunity Score entries when price structure was intact versus confirmed broken.
90D MEDIAN RETURN+2.5%
WIN RATE50%
VERY LOW · N=832 raw · Temporal mixed · v1.6.0
Momentum study
Weekly RSI cross 50
How Bitcoin performed after weekly momentum crossed into positive territory.
26W MEDIAN RETURN+22.1%
WIN RATE54.5%
LOW · N=1116 raw · Temporal unstable · v1.6.0
Mean reversion study
Bottom-zone stabilization
Forward outcomes after a deep drawdown first regains completed daily trend and momentum confirmation.
180D MEDIAN RETURN-33.3%
WIN RATE40%
VERY LOW · N=56 raw · Temporal not enough data · v1.6.0
Research, not a recommendation. Live market data can be delayed or temporarily unavailable. Historical results are displayed only when they have been computed and stored by the database research pipeline.