Quarterly expiry research
DERIVATIVES · QUARTERLY EXPIRY
Quarterly US Derivatives Expiry
Recurring U.S. equity-index derivatives expiry, also commonly called triple witching or quad witching. It is positioning context, not a directional Bitcoin signal.
STATUSCOMPLETED
ROLL WINDOWMar 17, 2025
EXPIRY SESSIONMar 21, 2025
HOLIDAY ADJUSTEDNo
BTC DATA7/7 windows complete
DIRECTIONAL PRIORNone
OBSERVED BTC PATH · COMPLETED DAILY CANDLES
Bitcoin reaction after expiry
| Horizon | Return | Worst excursion | Best excursion |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1D | -0.39% | -0.62% | +0.40% |
| 3D | +3.97% | -0.62% | +5.49% |
| 5D | +3.26% | -0.62% | +5.49% |
| 7D | +0.24% | -0.77% | +5.49% |
| 14D | -0.38% | -3.57% | +5.49% |
| 30D | +1.18% | -11.60% | +5.49% |
| 90D | +24.34% | -11.60% | +33.04% |
Base price is the last Coinbase BTC-USD daily close completed before the event. These outcomes do not prove the event caused the move.