Quarterly expiry research
DERIVATIVES · QUARTERLY EXPIRY

Quarterly US Derivatives Expiry

Recurring U.S. equity-index derivatives expiry, also commonly called triple witching or quad witching. It is positioning context, not a directional Bitcoin signal.

STATUSCOMPLETED
ROLL WINDOWJun 17, 2019
EXPIRY SESSIONJun 21, 2019
HOLIDAY ADJUSTEDNo
BTC DATA7/7 windows complete
DIRECTIONAL PRIORNone
OBSERVED BTC PATH · COMPLETED DAILY CANDLES

Bitcoin reaction after expiry

HorizonReturnWorst excursionBest excursion
1D+11.92%+5.76%+17.68%
3D+15.75%+5.76%+18.39%
5D+35.63%+5.76%+45.51%
7D+29.68%+5.76%+45.51%
14D+15.46%+1.26%+45.51%
30D+11.12%-4.83%+45.51%
90D+7.80%-4.83%+45.51%

Base price is the last Coinbase BTC-USD daily close completed before the event. These outcomes do not prove the event caused the move.